The Obama administration appointment process is sounding less like a new symphony of hope and change and more like a Capitol Steps parody. First there was Penny Priztker's conflicts with...
9:46 PM | 
2 comments
Drudge is currently linking to this story from the Times Online: Charity homes built by Hollywood start to crumble RESIDENTS of a model housing estate bankrolled by Hollywood celebrities and...
6:19 PM | 4 comments
So says a new video released by Hamas, in which Palestinians brag about using women, children, and the elderly as human shields to bring about death and destruction to Israel:...
4:41 PM | 8 comments
Kenneth Starr, the right wing witch hunter who attempted to end the Clinton presidency over a silly oral sex indiscretion by the once president is back on the stage again with yet another Puritanical mission to rid the world of...
4:30 PM | 3 comments
On the surface of it all, Israel's actions to protect their citizens from attacks from Hamas rockets that have grown more deadly and able to reach deeper into Israeli territory seems like a clearcut national security choice. One the other...
4:06 PM | 4 comments
New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson dropped out as Secretary-Designate of Commerce over an investigation into possible "pay-to-play" tactics concerning some of Richardson's political donors and awarding of state contracts. From...
2:53 PM | 23 comments
I question the timing. As the Blagojavich kerfuffle festers in Illinois, Obama's choice for Commerce Secretary - who's currently being investigated for influence peddling - suddenly decides to fall on...
2:27 PM | 7 comments
Being an only child is a unique experience. It has it's ups and downs, it's benefits and pitfalls, but, overall, it's quite a trip. Many people have a misconception that...
11:09 PM | 10 comments
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV), who also served alongside former segregationist Senator Strom Thurmond (R-SC) and who presently caucuses with former Ku Klux Klan member Senator Robert Bird (...
10:09 PM | 29 comments
The New York Times has a history of ignoring one of journalism's basic principles: don't bury the lede. However, given the Times coverage of the GWOT (and Israel in general)...
7:37 PM | 13 comments
Comments (3)
It's fun to speculate - so ... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Adjoran | June 9, 2006 2:00 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
It's fun to speculate - so long as we remember it is only speculation.
Predicting the next nominee of a major party with no incumbent in the race is hard enough ONE year out from the election - witness the universal assumption of the Dean Juggernaut in November 2003. Two years is extremely difficult.
For instance, in 1970 most people assumed Muskie would win the next Democratic nomination. Nobody would have given McGovern a chance - maybe McCarthy, Teddy K, or even Humphrey again, but not McGovern. Heck, the guy sounds like Liberace!
Who was touting Dukakis in 1986? Did anyone even know who Jimmy Carter WAS in 1974?
If we spread out the tea leaves just right, and analyze all the current data, we might be able to pick an early frontrunner. The history of early frontrunners isn't always so good, though - ask Muskie, or Gary Hart, or Howard Dean.
Hilarity! has a huge edge in money and name recognition, and her recent rejection by the moonbat left might well have been a calculated effort to balance her 95% lifetime ADA rating in the Senate. "Triangulation," they call it . . .
Her advantage is that core of sympathetic and financial support. She may not rise much above her 36% in this poll, but that would be enough to win Iowa and NH in a crowded field, and after doing that, no candidate has ever been denied his party's nomination.
If she is to be beaten for the nomination, either the "anti-Hilarity!" forces will have to coalesce around a single candidate before Iowa, or she will have to self-destruct.
Astute analysis, to be sure, if I do say so myself - but pretty much worthless in predictive value as to the 2008 campaign, anyway.
:-)
1. Posted by Adjoran | June 9, 2006 2:00 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on June 9, 2006 02:00
2. Posted by lyle | June 9, 2006 5:44 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
It appears to be a name-recognition poll from a politically apathetic sample.
At this point, a poll of probable primary voters might have value, and even then only to gauge the depth of opposition to Hillary and McCain in their respective parties.
Neither Giuliani nor McCain are an easy fit with the GOP base. There's a vacuum yet to be filled. My early guess is Romney, but it's way too early to handicap this thing.
2. Posted by lyle | June 9, 2006 5:44 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on June 9, 2006 05:44
3. Posted by Charles | June 9, 2006 2:25 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
It is 2 years UNTIL 2008. No Voter cares NOW!
3. Posted by Charles | June 9, 2006 2:25 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on June 9, 2006 14:25