After nearly two years of giving Republicans both nationally and in Pennsylvania extreme anxiety about his re-election prospects, Rick Santorum is finally catching up and making it a race in Pennsylvania!
According to a new Quinnipiac Poll, in a three way race, Casey now leads with 48%, while Santorum wins 42% and Green Party candidate Carl Romanelli 5%.
Of course liberals across the internet will howl that this is a sign that the third party candidate, allegedly financed by Republicans, will pull votes from Casey, assuring a Santorum victory. Unfortunately, in a two-way race, the margin between Casey and Santorum is not much different. Casey leads 47%-40%. In the previous poll, Casey led 52%-34%.
When you factor in the fact that Quinnipiac Polls in Pennsylvania have a Democratic bias (witness President Bush's extremely low approval rating in the state), it does look much better for the Junior Senator. If he keeps on his present trajectory, it will be a dead heat by Labor Day.
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2006 Senate Race
Comments (2)
I've maintained all along t... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Jim Addison | August 15, 2006 1:11 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I've maintained all along that Santorum would pull it out in the end.
For one thing, sometime after Labor Day, this scene is going to take place in about a million households across Pennsylvania:
"Say, Marge - didn't Bob Casey DIE a few years back? Then how can he run for Senate?"
This is why Junior stays hidden. He knows the more people realize he ISN'T his Dad, the more closely they might look at him, and he's scared. And he should be. It's why Santorum taunts him in the Townhall.com interview linked in the post below.
Let the Democrats whine about the Green Party candidate - they always whine about something, it's like their binky. But as I read somewhere last night, the Green candidate is the only one in the race who is pro-abortion and anti-war. Don't the Democrats want the choice? Couldn't they find anyone from "the Democratic wing of the Democratic Party" to run for PA Senate in that whole great big state?
1. Posted by Jim Addison | August 15, 2006 1:11 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 15, 2006 13:11
2. Posted by yetanotherjohn | August 15, 2006 3:55 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
With 23% of Casey votes and 28% of Santorum votes saying they can be persuaded to vote other wise, this is still very much of a race. Given the Santorum approve-disapprove numbers, the fact that so many casey supports would be persuadable says a lot about Casey. As does 3 out of ten voters saying they don't know enough about Casey to make up their mind. As they get to know Casey, Santorum has a chance.
2. Posted by yetanotherjohn | August 15, 2006 3:55 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 15, 2006 15:55