Well the new Quinnipiac Poll is out on the Gubernatorial race, and of course, being Quinnipiac, it has Ed Rendell leading by 19 points. Of course in the previous poll, Rendell led by 24, so it is some improvement for the Republican. However, a close look at the internals indicate why the Swann campaign should ignore this poll. Here are some examples.
The poll shows Rendell with a rather high approval rating in Northwestern Pennsylvania. In 2002, Fisher won 58% of the vote in the region. Hell will freeze over and pigs will fly before Rendell wins Northwestern Pennsylvania.
Meanwhile, in Allegheny County, Lynn Swann has an image that is 25% favorable and 33% unfavorable. Does anyone buy that? Lynn Swann? Pittsburgh?
I don't know what kind of "sauce" the Quinnipiac Poll adds to its polls. Perhaps it's the same as that which Zogby famously adds. Whatever it is, Ted Kennedy and Robert Byrd would sure love to try it.
For the Swann campaign, the Rasmussen Poll seems to be the best. Given its accuracy in 2004, I see no reason why Republicans should not rely on its results.
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Gubernatorial Races
Comments (1)
Perhaps Rendell saw his sup... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Jim Addison | August 16, 2006 1:55 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Perhaps Rendell saw his support beginning to slip with his own internal polling, and that's why he basically endorsed Santorum twice a couple weeks back.
Besides, Swannie was never the guy who starred in the short yardage ground game. When they needed to thrown the long ball, though, if he could get his fingertips on it, he nearly always brought it in.
I better cut out the football analogies before I get to "on any given Election Day . . ."
:-D
1. Posted by Jim Addison | August 16, 2006 1:55 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 16, 2006 13:55