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2006 Pennsylvania Governor Race

The new Strategic Vision poll also has some numbers on the Gubernatorial race, and they are very much in disagreement with the Quinnipiac Poll out yesterday. This poll has Rendell leading Swann 51% to 41%, with 2% going to a conservative candidate who dropped out. Thus, give Swann those 2%, and Rendell only leads by 8.

Granted Rendell went up two points, but Swann has climbed three points since the last Strategic Vision Poll. The two candidates continue to enjoy roughly the same favorable/unfavorable ration.

That said, I really do not understand how two polls reach the same result on one race (the Senate race) and so different results on another race (the Gubernatorial race). I think this one comes down to the middle of September. Swann will shortly launch his ad campaign. If it shows him with some momentum, then this one will probably be a nailbitter, no matter what Quinnipiac and Rendell's media allies say.

For excellent coverage of the Swann campaign, the Swannblog is a must-read and I highly recommend it.

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