According to a poll released today by Hotline, President Bush has a 42% approval rating, mirroring results in recent polls such as Gallup.
There are several other interesting numbers in the poll. 40% of Republicans strongly approve of how the President is performing. That is not only his highest number since February, but it bodes very well for getting out the Republican vote in November. Interestingly, 60% of Republicans express a great deal of interest in the November elections, slighly higher than the number among Democrats and Independents.
The President has a 38% approval rating on Iraq, which seems to be holding down his overall job approval. However, 53% of those polled believe that the war in Iraq is part of the overall War on Terror.
Meanwhile, on the congressional ballot test, 40% favor the Republican candidate and 40% favor the Democratic candidate. I know that many readers are down on this, as a result of an editorial in realclearpolitics. However, for reasons I will detail in a later column, I believe these numbers are useful, as anyone who follows British politics would know.
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Comments (3)
I think history shows the g... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Jim Addison | August 25, 2006 12:04 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I think history shows the generic ballot isn't necessarily predictive of anything. However, without regard to any correlation to results, TRENDS in the poll responses are certainly relevant.
1. Posted by Jim Addison | August 25, 2006 12:04 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 25, 2006 00:04
2. Posted by Ken Hupp | August 25, 2006 2:40 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Jim,
I'll make a prediction about that generic ballot number. I predict that if it stops showing a Democrat advantage, or heaven forbid produces a GOP lean that the MSM will stop citing it as evidence of what will happen in November.
Ken
2. Posted by Ken Hupp | August 25, 2006 2:40 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 25, 2006 02:40
3. Posted by kirktoe | August 25, 2006 8:38 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Actually I think we're already seeing the first indication of that. The MSM is still quoting polls from a month ago that showed Dem's up by 12. They will either keep saying this without giving us the date the poll was taken or they will stop using it altogether.
My guess is they will use the old poll numbers as long as they can (or do a push poll to get the results they want and then cite that poll).
3. Posted by kirktoe | August 25, 2006 8:38 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 25, 2006 20:38