« Arizona primary | Main | Minnesota 5th CD - The first Muslim Congressman? »
Ace has a great post about how Americans often want things both ways at the same time, especially in politics. He also talks about what this might mean for the upcoming elections.
Permalink | Send To A Friend | Linking Blogs | Digg this!
Filed under:
Commentary
Send e-mail tips to us:
Get Wizbang in your inbox by submitting your email address below.
The Obama administration appointment process is sounding less like a new symphony of hope and change and more like a Capitol Steps parody. First there was Penny Priztker's conflicts with...
9:46 PM | 
2 comments
Drudge is currently linking to this story from the Times Online: Charity homes built by Hollywood start to crumble RESIDENTS of a model housing estate bankrolled by Hollywood celebrities and...
6:19 PM | 4 comments
So says a new video released by Hamas, in which Palestinians brag about using women, children, and the elderly as human shields to bring about death and destruction to Israel:...
4:41 PM | 8 comments
Kenneth Starr, the right wing witch hunter who attempted to end the Clinton presidency over a silly oral sex indiscretion by the once president is back on the stage again with yet another Puritanical mission to rid the world of...
4:30 PM | 3 comments
On the surface of it all, Israel's actions to protect their citizens from attacks from Hamas rockets that have grown more deadly and able to reach deeper into Israeli territory seems like a clearcut national security choice. One the other...
4:06 PM | 4 comments
New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson dropped out as Secretary-Designate of Commerce over an investigation into possible "pay-to-play" tactics concerning some of Richardson's political donors and awarding of state contracts. From...
2:53 PM | 23 comments
I question the timing. As the Blagojavich kerfuffle festers in Illinois, Obama's choice for Commerce Secretary - who's currently being investigated for influence peddling - suddenly decides to fall on...
2:27 PM | 7 comments
Being an only child is a unique experience. It has it's ups and downs, it's benefits and pitfalls, but, overall, it's quite a trip. Many people have a misconception that...
11:09 PM | 10 comments
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV), who also served alongside former segregationist Senator Strom Thurmond (R-SC) and who presently caucuses with former Ku Klux Klan member Senator Robert Bird (...
10:09 PM | 29 comments
The New York Times has a history of ignoring one of journalism's basic principles: don't bury the lede. However, given the Times coverage of the GWOT (and Israel in general)...
7:37 PM | 13 comments
* denotes a recently updated blog
Publisher: Kevin Aylward
Editors: Jim Addison, Bill Jempty
All original content copyright © 2007 by Wizbang®, LLC. All rights reserved. Wizbang® is a registered service mark.
Powered by Movable Type 3.35
Hosting by ServInt
Ratings on this site are powered by the Ajax Ratings Pro plugin for Movable Type.
Search on this site is powered by the FastSearch plugin for Movable Type.
Blogrolls on this site are powered by the MT-Blogroll.
Temporary site design is based on Cutline and Cutline for MT. Graphics by Apothegm Designs.
Comments (5)
This <a href="http://www.re... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Jim Addison | September 13, 2006 1:52 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
This Jay Cost article, linked in the comments of Ace's post, considers the history, noting the House hasn't switched party control in the last century unless the Senate also switched.
We will soon find out whether our "respected, non-partisan analysts" like Cook, Sabato, and Rothenberg are actually mighty oracles who can predict election results months in advance, or merely channelers of the conventional wisdom.
1. Posted by Jim Addison | September 13, 2006 1:52 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on September 13, 2006 13:52
2. Posted by eddiebear | September 13, 2006 2:11 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Jim:
The Three Stooges you referenced were woefully wrong in 2002 and 2004. They keep hoping they'll eventually get one right.
2. Posted by eddiebear | September 13, 2006 2:11 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on September 13, 2006 14:11
3. Posted by Jim Addison | September 13, 2006 2:46 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
There does seem to be a strange consistency there. They all keep predicting Democratic gains, figuring it will come true one of these days. If it does, I wouldn't want to be trying to sleep in the hotel where they hold their orgy of self-congratulation, because it is certain to be loud and lengthy.
For the record, I've found CQ Politics to be a better source of real information than any of those. Their current breakdown of House races is HERE.
3. Posted by Jim Addison | September 13, 2006 2:46 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on September 13, 2006 14:46
4. Posted by Ken Hupp | September 13, 2006 8:18 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
If I counted CQ's categories correctly, then if the GOP wins those seats in the safe, favored and lean category they end up with 220, which means they retain the House. That's assuming they win none of the races with no clear favorite or Texas-22, the one race leaning Democrat, and the Democrats win everything else. I also recall hearing Carl Cameron report on Fox today that five of the top tier house candidates Rahm "The Slug" Emmanuel recruited to run have lost in the primaries. It's hard to imagine that improves their chances of taking over the House.
Ken
4. Posted by Ken Hupp | September 13, 2006 8:18 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on September 13, 2006 20:18
5. Posted by Jim Addison | September 13, 2006 11:23 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
That's right Ken, and I think Election Projection has the numbers about the same.
I've downgraded Arizona-8 to Leans Democrat, which puts my own projection at -7 seats in the House. If Graf does pull that off, it will be an upset at this point.
CQ has Ohio-18 (the Bob Ney seat) as toss-up, but I think Joy Padgett will win it fairly easily (55% or more).
I also think Texas-22 (the DeLay seat) is winnable through turnout and education on the write-in, provided the RNC and RCCC come through with the $3 million they said they would spend.
5. Posted by Jim Addison | September 13, 2006 11:23 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on September 13, 2006 23:23