I couldnt disagree more. How much can we overanalyze this race and the entire midterm election. As a resident of Colorado for over 16 years and having watched registration in the state turn from a democrat advantage in the early 90s followed by independents and republicans to a large republican advantage today with dems at the bottom Beauprez will win albeit narrowly. Ritter is an ultraliberal with a scary history of pleabargaining bad people. The ads against him are just beginning with an excellent ad regarding his plea baragaining of an habitual drunk who struck and killed a pedestrian. Strong stuff.. furthermore the Ritter DNC crowd blew his cash early on.. so watch this one for a republican hold. Best all.

I certainly hope you are right, but I doubt it. The "large Republican advantage" in Colorado gave us Senator Salazar two years ago.

#1,

Any indication of whether Ritter's little episode in Africa that was reported recently has caused any negative blowback? If AP is calling this a toss-up after all the problems Beauprez has reportedly had, that could have something to do with it. I'm not sure what to make of the GOP apparently underperforming their registration advantage as evidenced by Owens's narrow first term win, Allard's close calls, Beauprez's squeeker four years ago and the election of the Saladbar brothers.

Ken

Salazar was elected solely because one branch of the party chose to sit on its hands rather than vote for a "generic" Republican who managed to win the primary. There are many swirls and eddies in CO politics currently, and the race is in doubt, but the "September Dixon" commercial will work miracles, I think. Don't count Beauprez out.

Beuperez is finished. Dream on! He will not win.

As I said, quite a toss up indeed!! AP must be living in another country, even another world..

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/September%202006/ColoradoGovernor.htm

Look, pal, I am of the opinion that Beauprez is pretty much toast in this race. But if the polls were definitive, we wouldn't bother holding the actual elections, either.

I discount the Ritter Africa "scandal." He was driving in Zambia and killed a pedestrian. That much we know, and he admits it. Everything else is speculation, and I fear impartial investigation of a long-past incident in a corrupt dictatorship is nigh-on impossible.

But Ritter might yet be caught, as LA Gov. Edwards feared, "in bed, with a live boy, or a dead girl."

Granted, it isn't much to rest hope upon.

To "It's ugly here"

Also, many paleocons sat out to protest a beer magnate with a penchant for running racy ads.

gee, paleocons sitting out to throw an election in favor of a Democrat. Never heard of that one before.

Palecons (paleocons?), eh? That is a new term to me, and I thought I took Zoology. I knew what they say drove them, but Beauprez isn't a beer magnate, and his ads are a bit on the tame side. Sitting out elections can become a dangerous habit, not to be encouraged in any way.

Africa doesn't matter. Think of a grain of sand cast in calm waters and the ripples it would make.

September Dixon (your dead black girl, though not in bed) is a stone, but what size remains to be seen.

Zogby/Wall Street Journal finds Beauprez/Ritter within margin of error
In a poll released late last night by Zogby International and the Wall Street Journal, gubernatorial candidate Bob Beauprez has surged to within the margin of error for victory.

The poll results can be found on the Wall Street Journal website here.

By communicating a clear, positive vision for his administration, and asking Coloradans to hold him accountable for getting the job done, Bob Beauprez is within 2.7 points of Denver lawyer Bill Ritter.

The poll finds 45.5 percent for Ritter and 42.8 percent for Beauprez. The margin of error is +/- 4 percent.

For more information, go to the Beauprez Blog at blog.beauprezforgovernor.com.

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Beauperez surge similar to the Tom Strickland surge of 2002 in the Zogby poll!!

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=68d7f10b-4dc4-4d40-beed-b5f12fa62a07&q=31830