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2008 Republican Convention

Republicans have decided that the 2008 convention will be held in Minneapolis/St. Paul. I could not have chosen a better site myself. While there is probably no correlation between the location of the convention and the election results in that state, it does have symbolic value.

In 2000 and 2004, President Bush did well in a cluster of upper Midwestern states - Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Iowa. Howvever, he only won Iowa in 2004. Thiis year, the three best opportunities for Republican Gubernatorial pick-ups are in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Iowa, while Tim Pawlenty is leading in his bid for a second term.

These four states have 44 electoral votes, and in an era when there are very few competitive states, any GOP advantage is a good thing.

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Comments (4)

I think both parties are op... (Below threshold)
yetanotherjohn:

I think both parties are opting for an "aggressive" approach to their convention. Taking them to states that they haven't been winning, but have a chance to turn. The GOP had the choices of shoring up a state (Florida) going into a state they aren't likely to win (NY) or trying to flip a state that will be hard but not impossible to flip (Minnesota). The dems had the choice of safe (NY), shore up (Minnessota) or try to flip (Colorado). The fact that both went for the aggressive "flip" is interesting.

The dems flat out need the flip. They have to grow beyond their current states or they will never win. The GOP could have played it safe, but is showing it won't sit on its laurels. I think it was the right move for both parties.

I don't have time to do the... (Below threshold)

I don't have time to do the research, maybe someone else has the answer at hand -

Is there any track record of having a convention in a state and actually getting some sort of benefit from it?

Bush didn't get NY in 04. San Diego? Didn't get CA...

The idea of using the conve... (Below threshold)

The idea of using the conventions as an election strategy is relatively new, so I doubt an analysis would be relevant. The parties are still experimenting.

For instance, New York 2004 probably wasn't a bid for the state, but having the convention so near the site of the WTC was a powerful symbol with national significance.

Placing the 2008 convention in the midst of four "light blue" states seems a good idea, though. The party will dominate local media for a week, giving us a chance to build some momentum for November. The Democrats are trying the same approach with "light red" Colorado.

The Republicans going to Mi... (Below threshold)
Bill:

The Republicans going to Minneapolis for their convention is like the Democrats going to Salt Lake City for theirs.

Anyone remember what the only state was that went for Walter Mondale in 1984?

Or what state sent Paul Wellstone to the US Senate for two terms and most certainly would have returned him for a third if he hadn't died?




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