Look, I find the polls very confusing since I view almost all of them because methodologies are all very different. Perhaps we conservs should agree that people like Barone, Rass., Battleground might be a nice ave. of the races. The Senate races are razor thin. I am praying Pubs both send money to the Pub Senate races which seem close and to House races likewise. It is turnout , period, which will decide these races. Talent won by 20,000 votes last time. He needs all of those votes and more in corrupt MO. Kennedy in Minn. is close but no one says that.

What about the Man of Steele?

These three are the GOP Senate firewall. Hold these three and we hold a smaller, but Chaffee proof majority. Making sure we pull these three across the finish line needs to be top priority. Then look at which of the four most endangered incumbents looks most likely to be saved, and my guess is Burns in Montana. I also expect we'll win at least one challenger race. Steele seems to have the best feel right now. But if Kennedy is finally gaining traction in Minnesota, then he and Bouchard deserve another look. While Kean looks good right now, my one hesitation is that 1) New Jersey seems to love corrupt Democrats and 2) Republicans in recent years have had a habit of polling better than they run, unlike Rhode Island, where they run better than they poll. Some big decisions to be made after securing Virginia, Missouri and Tennessee.

Ken

Glenn, you might want to check out the "RCP average" of recent polls for various races at RealClearPolitics.com .

Kind of stinks about Ohio (I move here last year expecting I'll be some critical swing voter) but I doubt DeWine will ever consider the fact that "flipping the bird" to his base had something to do with it. Sadly it seems RHINOS go off and get even more self-righteous when they lose - just wished there was more of a learning curve so the Chafee, DeWine's et. al. of the world would get something out of these defeats.

And lets say I really really hate Taft etc. who have destroyed a perfectly good candidate (Blackwell) who'd I'd love to see go higher.

The only way McCaskill beats Talent is if she dies before the election.

DeWine's problem is Taft. Granted, he isn't much himself, but he is running against a moonbat moron. If it weren't for the Taft crap, he would win easily.