Well, at this point polling has become utterly irrelevant. There simply isn't time to measure any new movement.

Here is what I mean: much of public opinion is more influenced by interaction than immediate reaction. News or campaign ads break, people see them, but their initial reactions aren't set in stone. It is the consensus that matters - what their co-workers are saying, their friends, their email circle, etc. - in forming a final opinion on what they saw. This process can take a few days, so polls won't be able to measure it.

I will say this: The RNC needs to get on air TODAY with an ad touting the NY Times's verifying that Saddam was working on a nuclear bomb.

"Bush DIDN'T lie" should be the tag line.

I'm sure the Times didn't think of that angle - they were just trying to blame Republicans and Bush for letting the nuke info from Iraq hit the web - or they would have spiked the story.

Bottom line is get out and vote, period! I think that may be why the GOP would tell NRO Online that Allen's internals are looking gloomy when he's pulled even, after being behind. Word is his ground game is not as good as it should be, so his campaign needs a more urgent push to put him over the top. Missouri, Tennessee and Virgnia are the ballgame. Win those three and the Senate holds. If we get a win from Steele, Bouchard, Burns or Chafee that would be a bonus. Well, some might argue with calling a Chaffee win a bonus, but you know what I mean.

Ken

Don't be so gloomy, AKM. Polling is historically wrong when it comes to predicting Dem gains. DJ has written tons on the subject. They overweight the Dem votes every time. We'll hold the Sentate. Allen will prevail as will Talent and Corker. Chafee is like a fart in the wind. What will be will be. . .

Beware of leaked internal polls. Last week when Allen was down five they leaked the internal poll showing they were up three. Purpose: to encourage the supporters and the media and to dubunk the poll. Now that he has gained 5% points in one week he leaks the internal poll showing things are gloomy. Purpose: to keep everyone focused on Nov. 7th and help their GOTV. I suspect Allen's internals show him 3-5% ahead and he wants a final push until Tuesday. The Chafee leak has me stumped except that the national party put a lot of effort into Chafee and they need to keep the spirits up in RI. TN - don't get complacent. MO - Talent is taking a beating from that actor and the MSM so a positive report helps GOTV efforts. As you can see the leak of internal polls has the purpose to counteract the public polls and their influence on the races. Interesting leaks.