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Rove on turnout, results

Hugh Hewitt interviews Karl Rove yesterday:


HH: . . . Karl Rove, expectations regarding turnout, vis-à-vis 2004 and 2002?

KR: Well, my sense is more than 2002, but significantly less than 2004. That's just the nature of the cycle. We're in the off year, so we won't be close to the 60% turnout that we had in 2004, but I suspect we'll be in the sort of the high range of turnout, meaning the high 30's, maybe as big as 40%.


HH: And as you go into the three big groups, Democrat, Independent, Republican, vis-à-vis 2002. Will all three of those do better? Or will the Republican turnout do significantly better than any Democratic increase?


KR: I think the Republicans will increase over '02. I think the Democrats will increase over '02. I think that what will happen is that we're likely to see more independents sit out this election.


Read the whole interview at the link above to get Rove's predictions and other interesting observations. Hint: he doesn't see a "blue wave" at all . . .

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Comments (3)

Not sure how if at all this... (Below threshold)
BamaMan:

Not sure how if at all this pertains to the rest of the country in elections that matter nationally, but in my rural Alabama voting precinct, I overheard an election worker marvel that they had already gotten 50 more votes than they did the entire last midterm election. Doing research, my precinct only cast 200 votes during 2002, thus we are already at a 25% increase in voting. At 8:15 in the morning. In a 90% Republican distrinct.

I may be mistaken, but isn'... (Below threshold)
eddie bear:

I may be mistaken, but isn't it an axiom that Is really don't vote much in midterms?

Bama Man you're so right on... (Below threshold)
Pam:

Bama Man you're so right on! I too am from Alabama, and live in a Red District; the voting place had been open only 45 min and we had 250 voters.

People are turning! Republicans are turning out.




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