Richard Baehr of American Thinker has analysis:
On the Republican side, as Noemie Emerie has written, we are seeing the rise of the metro Republicans, a collection of candidates who are not Southern in orientation, and not rubber stamps on social conservative base issues: former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, Arizona Senator John McCain, and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Further back in the race at the moment, are two more traditional conservative candidates: former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee and Kansas Senator Sam Brownback, and perhaps waiting for his chance if none of the leaders catches fire, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.* * * * *
The last two Presidential elections were very close in the Electoral College. George Bush won 31 states, and 271 Electoral College votes in 2000 (270 needed to win), and had he lost any of them, Gore would have been elected President. Everyone is aware of Florida, but New Hampshire was a very close win for Bush as well. On the other hand, Gore won many states by small margins: Wisconsin, Iowa, Oregon, New Mexico and Minnesota among them. A shift of a single percent in the popular vote, and Bush would have won much more decisively in the Electoral College.
In 2004, 47 of 50 states voted the same way as in 2000, and Bush won the Electoral College with 286 votes. New Hampshire shifted to the Democrats, Iowa and New Mexico to the Republicans, all three states with very close races for a second straight election, as also occurred in Wisconsin.
Read it all at the link above.
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2008 Presidential Race, Commentary, Republican
Tags: campaign, presidential campaign, Republicans
Comments (4)
The Republicans stand a goo... (Below threshold)1. Posted by superdestroyer | March 10, 2007 7:47 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
The Republicans stand a good chance of losing in a rout. No Republican candidate stands a chance of winning any state that was carried by Kerry. Yet, the Repubicans will probably lose Ohio, Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, and others.
1. Posted by superdestroyer | March 10, 2007 7:47 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on March 10, 2007 19:47
2. Posted by kim | March 11, 2007 6:51 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Joltin' Joe Lieberman can be King or Kingmaker. What will be his choice?
Had the Democrats not chosen to bask in a reverie about Vietnam, they could have run Gephart/Kucinich, and won Missouri and Ohio, as well as all the blue states, Kerry, the putz, won. Result?
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2. Posted by kim | March 11, 2007 6:51 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on March 11, 2007 18:51
3. Posted by kim | March 11, 2007 6:54 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
sd, you've mentioned vulnerable red states, but Wisconsin and Pennsylvania stand a chance of turning purpler.
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3. Posted by kim | March 11, 2007 6:54 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on March 11, 2007 18:54
4. Posted by kim | March 11, 2007 7:00 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Richardson? The thoughtful one's Democrat, who thinks he'll dump Joe Wilson sooner rather than later.
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4. Posted by kim | March 11, 2007 7:00 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on March 11, 2007 19:00