The latest ARG poll contains some good news for McCain.
Did all that access McCain gave to local press on the Straight Talk Express last week pay off?ARG has new poll numbers out today (methodology and trendlines in the links) from Iowa and New Hampshire that Dick Bennett, the group's pollster, says reflect two things. First, including Fred Thompson in the mix, which Bennett did, takes support away from Rudy. Second, McCain's hitting the trail in earnest last week in the two early states has helped him reclaim some Independents who had strayed.
In Iowa, ARG now has McCain and Rudy tied at 29%, with Thompson at 12% and Romney at 10%. 11% of likely caucus goers -- a notoriously tough universe to sample -- said they were undecided. McCain leads Giuliani 39%-30% among Independents in the Hawkeye State.
In New Hampshire, ARG has McCain at 23% to Rudy's 19%. Romney gets 17%, Newt 11% and Thompson 10%. 15% of likely Granite State primary voters are undecided. Among Indepdenents there -- the folks who powered the maverick to victory in the 2000 New Hampshire primary -- McCain's lead over Rudy grows to 33%-22%.
Permalink | Send To A Friend | Linking Blogs | Digg this!
Filed under:
2008 Presidential Race, McCain
Comments (1)
While McCain's standing vis... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Jim Addison | March 24, 2007 1:11 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
While McCain's standing vis-a-vis Giuliani improved relative to other polls, it actually fell compared to the last ARG poll. McCain had 27% in NH in that one, and led Rudy by 7%. Now he gains 23% and leads by 4% - this is progress? He lost 3% and Rudy lost 1%
This, in a state McCain won with 49% in 2000. His support is less than HALF of seven years ago. No good news there.
In Iowa, his 29% is a significant gain over other polls and the last ARG, although Rudy has also gained a few points. Caucuses are notoriously harder to gauge, anyway, because it's easy to answer a telephone poll, but much harder to get out on a week night in freezing temperatures and possible bad weather to sit in a hall for three or four hours for your candidate.
The biggest news here is how fast Thompson is scoring by simply letting his name be floated. That's not good news for McCain OR Giuliani OR Romney.
1. Posted by Jim Addison | March 24, 2007 1:11 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on March 24, 2007 01:11