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State of the Race: Democrats

Looking at the Democratic field, several thoughts come immediately to mind:

Hillary Clinton ~ This is hers to lose at this point. In national polls, she is at or over the "tipping point" of 40% support, supposedly the level at which the frontrunner in a multi-candidate race becomes virtually unbeatable. She is only now bringing in her husband, the very popular (among Democrats) former President and perhaps the best national campaigner since Reagan. The legal betting favors her even in states where she currently trails in polls. The only way she can lose is if the fundraising scandals continue to grow, and they will have to get very big given the Democrats' history of not caring.

Barack Obama ~ He hasn't lived up to his hype, but has established himself as the logical candidate if Hillary falters, or if she loses, as the next nominee. He's stepped up his criticism, but not so much as to damage the frontrunner. His best chance of winning this cycle is a Hillary meltdown or scandal.

John Edwards ~ With strong union support, he will fight hard for Iowa. With the rapid pace of primaries in this front-loaded season, though, even a win there may not be enough. He wins the prize for Best Hair, though.

Bill Richardson ~ He has artfully positioned himself for the Veep slot, pandering to the base without criticizing Hillary directly.

Biden, Dodd, and the rest ~ You guys should save money by sharing cabs or something. Thanks for playing, and enjoy the lovely parting gifts behind the curtain . . .

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Comments (3)

G fer AG to prosecute C&K.<... (Below threshold)
kim:

G fer AG to prosecute C&K.
=======================

You don't need a weatherman... (Below threshold)
kim:

You don't need a weatherman to feel the Hsunami.
=============================================

Jim, exactly right analysis... (Below threshold)

Jim, exactly right analysis. A great snapshot at this point in time.




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