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Connecticut a Tossup for the Dems

A new Rasumussen poll on the Connecticut Democratic primary is out:

Obama: 40%
Clinton: 40%
Edwards: 11%
Other: 3%
Undecided: 6%

This is one of the first polls I've seen for a Super Tuesday state taken after Obama's South Carolina win. It's surprising to see Obama doing so well in a northeastern state where Clinton would be expected to do well. Connecticut is also just 9% black so these results can't be attributed entirely to Obama's strength with that community.

The Kennedy endorsement might be helping Obama some in Connecticut and it will surely help in neighboring Massachusetts which is also a Super Tuesday state.

Things are starting to get interesting on the Democratic side.

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Comments (3)

I am surprised that anyone ... (Below threshold)
sam:

I am surprised that anyone still looks at Rasmussen (at least for the state primaries). How far off th MOE has he been, in every matchup this election season? He does not have a clue what he is polling.

As I understand it, you mus... (Below threshold)
Steve Crickmore:

As I understand it, you must stop conducting polls 36 hours before the official primary polls open (or at least that was the explanation in NH.) That leaves alot of room for independent voters, and undecided voters, last minute swing changes etc. Rasmussen was spot on in Iowa and Nevada, understimated Hillary in New Hampshire, and underestimated Obama in South Carolina.

I haven't looked at Connect... (Below threshold)

I haven't looked at Connecticut, and it may well go to Obama, but you certainly can't base that call on a Rasmussen poll - from my experience that are highly unreliable, and among the worst of the polls out there.




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