Under Republican Rules Hillary Would Have the Race Won (Wizbang Politics)

I've been wondering what the delegate counts would be on the Democratic side if they used the winner-take-all rule that the Republicans use in most of their states. So I worked up a spreadsheet and calculated the delegate count for the Democrats assigning all of the delegates to the winner in the states where the Republicans have the winner-take-all rule. I fudged this a little bit because some states like California are technically not winner-take-all on the Republican side but close. For example, Romney collected 6 delegates in California even though he won 34% of the vote. Those states I treated as effectively winner-take-all. The results:

Clinton: 1026
Obama: 698

That's quite a disparity from the current count:

Obama: 861
Clinton: 855

What a difference the rules make!

Maybe Terry MacAuliffe should have focused on changing the Democratic rules so they were winner-take-all rather than packing everything into Super Tuesday as he did. Had he done so, Hillary would be cruising right now.

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Comments (3)

And if the Republicans had ... (Below threshold)

1. Posted by DoubleU | February 8, 2008 6:58 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)

DoubleU:

And if the Republicans had divided up their delegates things would be different.

Posted on February 8, 2008 18:58

That's true. I'll have to ... (Below threshold)

2. Posted by Larkin | February 8, 2008 8:06 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)

Larkin

That's true. I'll have to fire up Excel and see what the results would have been there.

Posted on February 8, 2008 20:06

ABSOLUTELY NO REASON FOR DE... (Below threshold)

3. Posted by Herman | February 12, 2008 6:20 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)

Herman:

ABSOLUTELY NO REASON FOR DEMOCRATS TO BE GUIDED BY STUPID REPUBLICAN RULES!!

Posted on February 12, 2008 18:20