A Decision Analyst poll has Obama pulling ahead in Ohio:
Obama: 54%
Clinton: 46%
and building a huge lead in Texas:
Obama: 57%
Clinton: 43%
Decision Analyst has an explanation of why their numbers on Ohio might differ from other polls:
They say that they carefully selected the demographic compositions used in their polls. Most pollsters thus far have not been fully representing the support Barack Obama gets at the polls because the demographic composition of those going out to the polls tend to be under-represented in traditional polling based on previous turnout.
That could explain why the polls are consistently underestimating the magnitude of Obama's blowout victories. The Real Clear Politics average for Wisconsin was just 4 points and Obama won the state by 17. This is a pattern that has been repeated elsewhere (save New Hampshire).
Remember, Hillary needs victory margins of at least 25% in Ohio and Texas just to have a chance at pulling even in the delegate count. There's no way she's going to get those margins now and I think she'll probably lose both states.
So, again, Hillary is the new Huckabee and there's no way she can win. The only people encouraging her to stay in the race are the Hillaryiacs and Republicans who have a vested interest in seeing this contest continue as long as possible.
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Filed under:
2008 Presidential Race
Tags: Democratic presidential campaign, Ohio, Texas
Comments (2)
Oy!You're making me ... (Below threshold)1. Posted by bryanD | February 26, 2008 1:12 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Oy!
You're making me long for one of DJ Drummond's What-if-Chester A. Arthur-faced-Franklin Pierce-in-1972-for-5 star sachem-of-the-Iroquois-by-show-of-hands-aboard-the-Ormurin Langi-while-anchored-off-Catalina Island-for-the-embarkation-of-Pu Yi-and-Fatty Arbuckle posts.
Anyway, here's an enlightening Michelle Obama article. Starts with the old stuff and then gets Interesting.
http://www.vdare.com/sailer/080225_michelle_obama.htm
1. Posted by bryanD | February 26, 2008 1:12 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on February 26, 2008 01:12
2. Posted by Rev Chquito | February 26, 2008 8:09 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Oh my! What on earth has Hillary done! Such a shame for someone who, deceitfully, strive to be the president of the United States. Not mine!
After watching her debates and merciless sarcastic remarks on her opponent (Obama), made me skeptical and aware of her tactics. I feel sorry for some women who are being deceived by her gender struggle, rather than being a defender of their rights. Hillary seems to have some ambition beyond politics.
She's gone too far. Her disgusting gesture is so negative and undesirable. I don't think she's the one to represent such a great nation like America. She'll probably denigrate America's image around the world.
Oh! No!
Please, Hillary, go home!
2. Posted by Rev Chquito | February 26, 2008 8:09 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on February 26, 2008 20:09