Obama has opened up a large lead with the Gallup daily poll:
Obama: 52%
Clinton: 43%
This one was just a three point lead the day before so we'll have to see if this trend holds.
The Rasmussen tracking poll isn't much better for Hillary:
Obama: 51%
Clinton: 41%
And what about those recalcitrant Pennsylvania voters who have been resisting the trend towards Obama? According to a just-released ARG poll they are now split:
Obama: 45%
Clinton: 45%
Hillary was up by 12 points in this poll just a few weeks ago.
It's not hard to figure out why this is happening. The reason is that Obama wears well as voters get to know him, whereas Hillary has the opposite effect. Most people (excluding those who are afflicted with a pathological case of Obama Derangement Syndrome) find Obama a likable personality in much the same way that George W Bush came across during the 2000 presidential campaign. He seems much more authentic and believable than Hillary who more often appears rehearsed and practiced.
Obama's big advantage is that he is still in the process of defining himself for voters while perceptions of Hillary are pretty much set in stone at this point. She has high negatives among a good segment of the population and there's not much she can do about that. The recent imbroglio of her Bosnia story-telling has only reinforced some of those negative perceptions.
Permalink | Send To A Friend | Linking Blogs | Digg this!
Filed under:
2008 Presidential Race
Tags: Democratic presidential campaign
Comments (2)
Larkin, it is looking good... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Steve Crickmore | April 7, 2008 8:59 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Larkin, it is looking good for the next three primaries.. It one thing to be doubtful of Obama, but given the alternative. I have noticed that Hillary has no lower gear it's all push, push, sell, see it my way. She would hardly let Leno get in a word the other night. Of course these polls can be fickle. Obama's worst and most covered news of the week was his bowling score. But the most reassuring is he is extremely smart on a wide number of subjects, smarter than both Clintons, I believe and certainly than McCain, and he keeps his ego in check which Hillary can't. The past is about his only potential problem area; fortunately, he doesn't have too much of one, even if it seems controversial to many.
1. Posted by Steve Crickmore | April 7, 2008 8:59 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on April 7, 2008 20:59
2. Posted by Jim Addison | April 8, 2008 12:41 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Hillary may have self-destructed with the Tuzla tale. Her numbers have been deteriorating fairly steadily ever since the video of the actual landing and welcome came out.
2. Posted by Jim Addison | April 8, 2008 12:41 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on April 8, 2008 00:41