Hillary Clinton's campaign is already reaping the fruit of her 10-point victory in the Pennsylvania primary. She raised $2.5 million in the day after her big win, and now the trend in Gallup's daily tracking poll has reversed:
The Democratic nomination race is now tied, with Barack Obama favored by 48% of national Democratic voters and Hillary Clinton by 47%.* * * * *
The latest results, based on Gallup Poll Daily tracking from April 22-24, include two days of interviews conducted entirely after Tuesday's Pennsylvania Democratic primary. Support for Clinton is significantly higher in these post-primary interviews than it was just prior to her Pennsylvania victory, clearly suggesting that Clinton's win there is the catalyst for her increased national support.
Obama's lead dwindled steadily all week, falling from a high of 10 percentage points in interviewing conducted in the three days just prior to the Pennsylvania primary. However, the percentage of Democrats supporting Obama has changed little (declining from 50% in April 19-21 polling to 48% today). Most of Clinton's increased support (from 40% to 47%) has come from previously undecided voters. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)
Read the whole report at the link above. Only a few days ago, Obama held a 10-point lead nationally, and seemed to have overcome his Pastor Problem. Since then, he's been coming back to earth, and his Pastor is giving a series of public interviews which prove the issue has not, in fact, been put to rest. He outspent Hillary by at least 3 - to - 1 in Pennsylvania but, as in Ohio and Texas, his money couldn't buy enough love.
Notice that only two of the three days polled were after her Pennsylvania triumph. Expect her to keep moving up in the next few days, as the news and analysis of the results are widely discussed. Obama figures to continue slipping with Reverend Wright staying in the news and losing PA after his huge investment.
"Over," someone said? Not by a long shot . . .



Comments (3)
I'm getting dizzy watching ... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Lee Ward
| April 26, 2008 10:29 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I'm getting dizzy watching the Gallup poll rise and fall, but I'm glad to see Clinton rebounding. I hope the trend continues.
Note that the Clinton campaign has announced a one-day fundraising total of $10 million (not $2.5) in the 24 hours following the Pennsylvania primary, and 100,000 new donors.
This is a new one-day record. Ron Paul holds second place and Barack Obama holds third.
It's possible that Obama donors are nearing or reaching their $2,300 limit due to their participation in Obama's strong fundraising in the past.
With Clinton just now picking up momentum we may find that her donors have more 'headroom' going forward.
1. Posted by Lee Ward
| April 26, 2008 10:29 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on April 26, 2008 10:29
2. Posted by Lee Ward
| April 26, 2008 10:35 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
"Over," someone said? Not by a long shot . . ."
Looks like your pal Larkin may have finally run out of forks... he's been saying "stick a fork in Clinton, she's done" since January.
She has a case to make to the American people that she should be the nominee - we're seeing that emerge in her views on how the popular vote should be counted.
Too bad Barack Obama doesn't have the cajones to debate Clinton on this issue -- I'd like to see the two of the argue their positions in front of the camera, side by side. Barack is just plain scared to debate Clinton after the ass-whipping he received in the Pennsylvania debate.
That's what we need in the White House -- a president who's afraid to argue his position in an open forum.
2. Posted by Lee Ward
| April 26, 2008 10:35 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on April 26, 2008 10:35
3. Posted by COgirl | April 26, 2008 11:04 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Anyone notice that Barack has finally decided to make an appearance on Chris Wallace's show on Fox on Sunday? Is that a sign of desperation?
3. Posted by COgirl | April 26, 2008 11:04 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on April 26, 2008 11:04